Japan vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
JPN
3 - 0
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
JPN
4 - 0
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SGP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 1
JPN
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 0
KWT
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
UAE
1 - 0
PRK
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
PRK
2 - 1
YEM
84%
12%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PRK
4 - 1
THA
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
PRK
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |