Cook Islands vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2000 |
COK
2 - 1
VAN
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
COK
2 - 4
GLP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
FIJ
3 - 0
COK
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
16 - 0
COK
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 88 | 49 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
COK
2 - 1
PNG
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
GLP
6 - 1
PNG
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
FIJ
5 - 0
PNG
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
COK
2 - 1
PNG
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
PNG
0 - 1
FIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
FIJ
3 - 1
PNG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |