Cook Islands vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
SAM
2 - 1
COK
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
TON
2 - 0
COK
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
COK
3 - 3
FIJ
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
4 - 2
COK
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
PNG
0 - 1
FIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
FIJ
3 - 1
PNG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
7 - 0
PNG
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
PNG
1 - 0
NZL
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
2 - 1
VAN
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |