Iran vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
LAO
0 - 7
IRN
1%
11%
88%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 1
QAT
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
KWT
3 - 1
IRN
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
1 - 0
LBN
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
LBN
3 - 0
MDV
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 2
BHR
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
VIE
0 - 2
LBN
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |