Iran vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
73%
18%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
UKR
0 - 1
IRN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 1
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2002 |
KWT
1 - 3
IRN
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 0
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 1
JOR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
THA
2 - 2
LBN
78%
14%
9%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2001 |
LKA
0 - 5
LBN
14%
22%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
PAK
1 - 8
LBN
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
LBN
1 - 2
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |