England vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
46%
28%
26%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
50%
25%
25%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ENG
1 - 1
SWE
59%
24%
17%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ENG
2 - 2
GRC
75%
18%
7%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
ENG
2 - 0
ALB
81%
15%
4%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
NGA
1 - 1
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 4
COL
47%
26%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
VEN
3 - 1
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARG
23%
25%
53%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |