Guam vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 6
BTN
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
HKG
11 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
4%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 7
TWN
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 2
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
MNG
2 - 0
GUM
55%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
10 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
TWN
4 - 0
MNG
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
MNG
2 - 0
GUM
55%
21%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
44%
23%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
40 | 91 | 51 | +2 |