Guam vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
OMA
1 - 0
GUM
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
GUM
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GUM
0 - 6
IRN
6%
17%
77%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
GUM
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
TWN
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PHL
1 - 3
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
VIE
5 - 2
PRK
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
UAE
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IRQ
1 - 1
PRK
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |