Gales U18 vs Escocia U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
NOR
2 - 2
WAL
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
NIR
1 - 2
WAL
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1987 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
WAL
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Escocia U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1987 |
SCO
1 - 3
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1987 |
SCO
2 - 2
NIR
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1987 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
19%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCO
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
SCO
4 - 1
ENG
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |