Gabon vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
42%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
1 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
1 - 0
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
4 - 0
EQG
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CIV
0 - 1
GAB
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 0
EQG
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
0 - 2
CHA
84%
12%
3%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
5 - 0
SMR
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +10 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
DOM
4 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
BHR
1 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
9%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +1 |