Gabon vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
GAB
1 - 0
TOG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
GAB
0 - 1
GHA
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1990 |
CHA
2 - 1
GAB
31%
25%
43%
|
63 | 18 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1990 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1990 |
GAB
1 - 0
CTA
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1989 |
BDI
2 - 0
PHL
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MAS
2 - 1
BDI
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1989 |
IDN
6 - 0
BDI
68%
17%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BDI
0 - 2
IDN
58%
21%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1987 |
THA
3 - 1
BDI
69%
17%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |