Spain vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 1
BIH
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 0
LTU
84%
13%
4%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
SCG
0 - 0
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHN
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
98 | 45 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
21%
24%
54%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
59%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
URU
39%
26%
35%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |