Spain vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
POR
0 - 3
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 0
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 1
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
4 - 0
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
ARM
95%
5%
1%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 0
NIR
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 2
ROU
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
GRC
1 - 0
UKR
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
UKR
4 - 3
ARM
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
UKR
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |