Spain vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
78%
14%
8%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
RSA
2 - 3
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
SVN
92%
7%
2%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
NIR
0 - 5
ESP
15%
22%
64%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 1
ITA
12%
24%
64%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
POR
0 - 1
KOR
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
POL
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 3
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |