Spain vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
MAR
0 - 1
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
WAL
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
MAR
0 - 1
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 2
EGY
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
13 - 1
KSA
57%
19%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBN
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |