Spain vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 1
KOR
80%
14%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
SRB
86%
11%
3%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
VEN
86%
11%
3%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CRC
2 - 2
ESP
8%
17%
76%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHN
3 - 1
JOR
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHN
2 - 0
KWT
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
SGP
0 - 4
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
CHN
35%
28%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
0 - 1
IRQ
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |