African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 2-4
Egypt vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
TUN
1 - 0
EGY
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
YEM
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 2
CMR
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
NED
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |