Egypt vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
1 - 2
RSA
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 2
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
EGY
2 - 0
UGA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBY
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
UAE
1 - 1
LBY
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
LBY
2 - 1
COD
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |