Chad vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ALG
4 - 1
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 0
CHA
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ETH
2 - 3
CHA
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
2 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
2 - 0
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NAM
0 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
NAM
0 - 1
ALG
21%
27%
53%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAM
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAM
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |