Australia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
AUS
51%
26%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SUI
0 - 0
AUS
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SVN
2 - 0
AUS
38%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 1
SRB
53%
25%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 1
AUS
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRC
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ESP
5%
12%
83%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
JPN
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |