Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
AUS
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NZL
1 - 1
COD
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 1
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |