Australia vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AUS
1 - 1
KOR
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
KWT
0 - 4
AUS
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
AUS
0 - 2
PER
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
AUS
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
AUS
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
UZB
0 - 0
LBN
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LBN
0 - 0
OMA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
JOR
0 - 1
LBN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
LBN
2 - 1
MAS
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 1
LBN
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |