Segesta vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HNS
1 - 0
SEG
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SEG
2 - 0
HNK
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NKR
1 - 1
SEG
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SEG
3 - 3
NKD
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAG
2 - 0
SEG
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
HNG
3 - 0
IMO
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HDR
1 - 2
HNG
36%
27%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LUK
0 - 4
HNG
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HNK
1 - 0
HNG
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |