FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
51%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 2
SEB
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ZIR
3 - 1
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
SFK
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
SEB
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FKN
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 2
FKQ
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
FKN
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FKN
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 2
FCK
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |