SE Flamengo vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+347%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SE Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ADB
3 - 1
SEF
43%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SEF
0 - 0
ROS
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
SEF
2 - 0
ARA
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 2
SEF
14%
17%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SEF
0 - 1
ROS
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
GUA
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AMP
3 - 0
INS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 2
INS
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
AMA
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
2 - 3
INS
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |