Triasu vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
TER
2 - 3
SDT
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
SDT
2 - 0
EJE
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
CAS
1 - 0
SDT
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SDT
1 - 0
AMI
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ACF
4 - 0
SDT
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
NUM
3 - 1
ZAR
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ATC
1 - 3
NUM
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
NUM
1 - 1
AZA
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SAB
0 - 0
NUM
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
NUM
2 - 2
AND
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |