SD Sarriana vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAR
3 - 2
PUL
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
PUL
0 - 0
SAR
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
SAR
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 0
EST
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
RCV
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
OSA
1 - 1
OUR
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OUR
0 - 3
SDA
42%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TAR
4 - 0
OUR
36%
31%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OUR
1 - 0
CUL
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SES
2 - 2
OUR
39%
30%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |