O Val vs Sporting Sada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 2
OVA
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 0
SDC
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 0
OVA
73%
16%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 1
AES
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 0
OVA
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Sada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DUB
4 - 1
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
CLU
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 2
SPO
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAR
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |