SD Negreira vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
NEG
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NEG
3 - 0
NAR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
NEG
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOM
2 - 0
NEG
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NEG
1 - 0
RCV
50%
24%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
RCV
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
CEL
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALO
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 4
CEL
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |