Baiano 1 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-4
SD Juazeirense vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 3
SDJ
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
3 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 4
SDJ
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SDJ
2 - 1
JAC
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
6%
19%
74%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
ALA
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
ALA
81%
13%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |