SD Formentera vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PXD
2 - 0
SDF
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SDF
2 - 1
PCE
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SDF
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SLL
0 - 1
SDF
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
ELD
2 - 1
SDF
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 0
SLL
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MNC
0 - 0
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
BNS
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LLO
1 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |