SD Centro Ítalo vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Centro Ítalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
UCV
4 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 2
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
UCL
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 1
TRU
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CDS
1 - 1
LAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
UCV
1 - 0
LAR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |