Atl. Nacional vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
NAC
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
OES
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
NAC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |