Atl. Nacional vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
NAC
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
OES
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
NAC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
MSM
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
COL
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
COL
0 - 5
COS
26%
29%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |