Atl. Nacional vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
OES
3 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 1
RIV
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
39%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 0
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |