Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
FCB
0 - 1
SWE
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SWE
0 - 2
BAY
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
SWE
1 - 1
SSD
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
KFC
3 - 0
SWE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
SWE
2 - 0
FBH
78%
14%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
FOR
4 - 2
KFC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
FBH
0 - 1
FOR
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
FOR
1 - 0
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BAE
2 - 4
FOR
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
FOR
3 - 0
TUS
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |