Schengen vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
12º
6º
63
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 4
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
URE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 6
BWI
76%
15%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
2 - 3
SYR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
KOE
39%
21%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
3 - 0
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
USS
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 5
CBG
38%
24%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |