Olhanense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
OLH
2 - 1
VIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 4
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
OLH
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
OLH
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
GON
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |