Olhanense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 1
OLH
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
IDE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
OLH
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 3
OLH
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OLH
3 - 1
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
IDE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 2
LUS
34%
22%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 4
CAS
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
PIN
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |