Almirante Barroso vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
BLU
2 - 2
LIT
11%
16%
74%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
LIT
3 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
LIT
0 - 2
FFC
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
LIT
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
LIT
3 - 2
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
FFC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
CAM
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
MAF
1 - 0
GUA
13%
20%
68%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |