Jaraguá vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
GOI
4 - 3
JAR
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
JAR
1 - 0
AME
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JAT
2 - 1
JAR
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JAR
1 - 2
CAM
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAC
4 - 1
JAR
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
GOI
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 2
NOV
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
TRI
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |