Jaraguá vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JAR
2 - 1
GOI
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
JAR
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
JAR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
JAR
2 - 2
AEE
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
JAR
0 - 2
GOI
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ANA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |