SC Guaraní vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
SCG
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SCG
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
CDS
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
URE
1 - 3
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
URE
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
ANG
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 1
URE
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
URE
3 - 1
UCV
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |