Douai vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SED
2 - 0
DOU
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 2
DOU
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
MEZ
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
1 - 3
ROY
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STG
4 - 0
MEZ
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 2
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
ROY
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
REI
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
STG
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |