Heiligenstadt vs FC Union Mühlhausen analysis

Heiligenstadt FC Union Mühlhausen
21 ELO 14
-10.6% Tilt -6.5%
11614º General ELO ranking 16111º
558º Country ELO ranking 659º
ELO win probability
75.6%
Heiligenstadt
14.7%
Draw
9.7%
FC Union Mühlhausen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
Heiligenstadt
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
FC Union Mühlhausen
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heiligenstadt
+9%
-58%
FC Union Mühlhausen

ELO progression

Heiligenstadt
FC Union Mühlhausen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heiligenstadt
Heiligenstadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
SCH
Schweina-Gumpelstadt
3 - 3
Heiligenstadt
SCH
15%
18%
67%
21 12 9 0
20 Aug. 2023
SCH
Heiligenstadt
4 - 1
Eichsfeld
EIC
77%
14%
9%
21 13 8 0
05 Aug. 2023
FCS
FC Saalfeld
2 - 1
Heiligenstadt
SCH
18%
20%
63%
21 14 7 0
17 Jun. 2023
FCS
FC Saalfeld
3 - 1
Heiligenstadt
SCH
10%
16%
74%
22 11 11 -1
10 Jun. 2023
SCH
Heiligenstadt
1 - 3
Schott Jena
SCH
38%
25%
37%
23 26 3 -1

Matches

FC Union Mühlhausen
FC Union Mühlhausen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2023
FUM
FC Union Mühlhausen
6 - 1
Eintracht Sondershausen
SON
9%
15%
77%
10 21 11 0
05 Aug. 2023
FUM
FC Union Mühlhausen
1 - 1
Schott Jena
SCH
8%
16%
77%
9 27 18 +1
11 Jun. 2016
BSA
SV Motor Altenburg
9 - 0
FC Union Mühlhausen
FUM
90%
8%
2%
14 56 42 -5
04 Jun. 2016
FUM
FC Union Mühlhausen
2 - 5
Wacker Nordhausen II
WEN
10%
15%
76%
16 38 22 -2
28 May. 2016
SCW
SC 1903 Weimar
6 - 2
FC Union Mühlhausen
FUM
90%
7%
3%
16 43 27 0