Heiligenstadt vs FC Saalfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
BLA
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
0 - 2
SCH
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
SGE
20%
21%
58%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
SCH
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
WAC
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Saalfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SON
0 - 2
FCS
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
FCA
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
FUM
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 3
FCS
41%
21%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
EIC
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |