Heiligenstadt vs BW Neustadt / Orla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SON
0 - 2
SCH
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCA
27%
24%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
FUM
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 3
SCH
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BW Neustadt / Orla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BWN
3 - 1
BLA
7%
13%
79%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SON
5 - 3
BWN
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BWN
2 - 1
FSV
21%
20%
60%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 0
BWN
90%
8%
3%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BWN
1 - 3
SGE
6%
12%
83%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | -1 |