Savona vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAV
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
SAV
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
LEC
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 2
RIM
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LEC
69%
20%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
TRE
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -2 |