Sassari Torres vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
PIS
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
SAS
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
3 - 1
PIS
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAV
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
REG
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |