Épinal vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPI
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
0 - 1
SPI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SPI
1 - 1
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BOB
0 - 2
SPI
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 2
ARR
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
STG
1 - 3
LUS
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BOB
1 - 2
STG
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
STG
4 - 2
ARR
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REI
2 - 0
STG
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STG
0 - 2
LIL
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |